The All Progressives Congress (APC) Presidential candidate, Senator Bola Tinubu, has been projected to win the upcoming 2023 presidential election, according to the results of a four-week opinion poll conducted by a group of data analysts and public relations experts coordinated by FREDDAN Continental.
The poll was conducted between January 7th and February 11th and involved the deployment of a team of data analysts who used online and phone surveys to collect data on voters’ preferences. The online survey was conducted through a secure web platform that prevented multiple voting, while the phone survey was conducted by trained staff proficient in the three major Nigerian languages.
Over the four weeks, the FREDDAN Election Net Favourability administered over 370,000 questionnaires and received a total of 287,033 responses from all 36 states of the federation and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Abuja.
According to the poll results, Senator Bola Tinubu of the APC is the potential winner, with 107,524 respondents, representing 37.5 percent of total respondents, preferring him over other candidates. The LP’s presidential candidate, Obi, came second in the poll, with 92,127 respondents, representing 32.1 percent of the total responses received. The regional voting preference showed that Obi enjoys the majority support in eight out of 36 states of the federation.
The candidate of the PDP, Abubakar, surprisingly came third with only 88,109 respondents, representing 30.7 percent of total respondents. The regional voting preference showed that he enjoys majority support in 10 of the 36 states of the federation. The New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) candidate, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, polled 693, translating to just 0.23 percent of total respondents.
The outcome of the poll shows that Senator Bola Tinubu of the APC is expected to win majority votes in the North-West, North-Central and South-West regions, while the candidate of the PDP is expected to win majority votes in the FCT and the South-South region. Obi of the LP is expected to win majority votes in the South-East region, while the North-East region is expected to be divided between the candidates of the APC and the PDP.
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