A presidential pre-election opinion poll commissioned by Anap Foundation, a non-profit organisation, has shown that the presidential candidate of the Labour Party is ahead of three other frontline candidates.
The poll results, which were released on Wednesday, projected that Obi is ahead among the four leading candidates for the 2023 presidential election.
The three other candidates are Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP).
This is the second poll conducted by NOI Polls Limited and commissioned by Anap Foundation after an earlier poll in September.
Many political analysts have identified the North Central as one of the few zones that could decide the 2023 presidential election in February.
In the September poll by Anap Foundation, Obi was tied with Tinubu at 16% in the North Central with Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) scoring 9% and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) scoring 2%.
However, the latest poll released by Anap Foundation showed that 23 per cent of respondents proposed to vote for Obi if the election was held at the time of the poll, while Tinubu got 13 per cent.
Atiku came third with 10 per cent, while Kwankwaso was a distant fourth with two per cent.
“Mr Peter Obi’s 10%-point lead at this stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him from a leading pack of candidates scoring 13%, 10% and 2%,” Atedo Peterside, ANAP’s founder, said in a statement on Wednesday.
“Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 29% and 23%, respectively.
“The gender split of undecided voters shows that 38% of women are undecided versus 21% of male voters.
“This result was polled from 1,000 respondents; after which Anap Foundation conducted similar polls with a 2,000 and 3,000 respondents sample size, the difference in the results was not significant.”
GEO-POLITICAL ZONES DISTRIBUTION
In the north-central, the poll places Obi in the lead with 24 per cent, followed by Tinubu at nine per cent, Atiku at eight per cent, and Kwankwaso had one per cent.
In the northeast, Atiku leads with 23 per cent, Tinubu with 15 per cent, Obi has eight per cent, and Kwankwaso has two per cent.
In the northwest, Atiku is top with 17 per cent, followed by Tinubu with 15 per cent, Obi with 11 per cent, and Kwankwaso scored six per cent.
In the southeast, 50 per cent of the voters chose Obi, Tinubu and Atiku one per cent each, and Kwankwaso did not have any percentage.
In the south-south, 46 per cent aligned with Obi, Tinubu came a distant second with nine per cent, Atiku had three per cent, and Kwankwaso got one per cent.
In the southwest, Tinubu came first with 22 per cent, Obi had 15 per cent, Atiku scored four per cent, and Kwankwaso had one per cent.
In the statement, the organisation said the December polls are inconclusive because the combination of undecided voters and voters who refused to disclose their preferences, is enough to change the poll outcome.
“However, Anap Foundation has concluded that the trends are clear enough to establish the front-runners and so our subsequent polls will continue to concentrate on the 4 leading candidates only,” the statement reads.
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